京都大学 大学院経済学研究科・経済学部

セミナーシリーズ

マクロ経済学セミナー(2025.10.22)(京都大学経済研究所ミクロ経済学・ゲーム理論研究会、マクロ経済学・経済システム研究会と共催)

Joel Flynn(Assistant Professor at Yale University)

開催日:
2025年10月22日(水)17:00-18:30
場所:
京都大学 吉田キャンパス 経済研究所北館1階 N101/102室
言語:
英語
コーディネーター:
西山 慎一

“What can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality? “
(with Hassan Afrouzi and Choongryul Yang)

Abstract:
This paper studies how measured beliefs can be used to identify monetary non-neutrality. In a general equilibrium model with both nominal rigidities and endogenous information acquisition, we analytically characterize firms’ optimal dynamic information policies and how their beliefs affect monetary non-neutrality. We then show that data on the cross-sectional distributions of uncertainty and pricing durations are both necessary and sufficient to identify monetary non-neutrality. Finally, implementing our approach in New Zealand survey data, we find that informational frictions approximately double monetary non-neutrality and endogeneity of information is important: models with exogenous information would overstate monetary non-neutrality by approximately 50%.